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Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020

Identifieur interne : 000423 ( 2020/Analysis ); précédent : 000422; suivant : 000424

Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020

Auteurs : Julien Riou [Suisse] ; Christian L. Althaus [Suisse]

Source :

RBID : PMC:7001239

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English descriptors

Abstract

Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number R0 of 2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density interval: 1.4–3.8), indicating the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission. Transmission characteristics appear to be of similar magnitude to severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.


Url:
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058
PubMed: 32019669
PubMed Central: 7001239


Affiliations:


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PMC:7001239

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